MLB · Jul 24, 2026 · Moneyline

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Pick

MLBChicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Jul 24, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: Chicago Cubs · Pittsburgh Pirates.

LOSTFinal Chicago Cubs 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates-1.00u

The Pick

MODEL PICK
Model confidence 62%
Pittsburgh Pirates -122-122

Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 62% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.

Moneyline

Chicago Cubs+10449% impl.
Pittsburgh Pirates-12255% impl.

Run Line

Chicago Cubs -1.5+16837% impl.
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5-20567% impl.

Total (Over/Under) — 8

Over 8-11453% impl.
Under 8-10651% impl.

The Analysis

The market is pricing Pittsburgh as a moderate home favorite at -122, implying roughly 55% probability, while the Cubs sit at +104 underdog odds. The spread pricing reveals strong conviction: Pittsburgh is -205 on the runline, indicating the market believes they'll win by multiple runs if they win outright. This heavy runline juice combined with a modest moneyline suggests the market sees Pittsburgh as the likely winner without needing to lay the extra half-run tax.

FAQ

Who is favored in Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Pittsburgh Pirates is the market favorite at -122 (55% implied) for this MLB game on Jul 24, 2026.
What is the over/under for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
The market total is 8: Over 8 at -114, Under 8 at -106.
What is PickWise's pick for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
PickWise's model has Pittsburgh Pirates -122 (-122) on the Moneyline, at 62% model confidence. The pick lost.

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⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.