MLB · Jul 21, 2026 · Run Line

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Pick

MLBLos Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies on Jul 21, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: Los Angeles Dodgers · Philadelphia Phillies.

WONFinal Los Angeles Dodgers 2–1 Philadelphia Phillies+0.54u

The Pick

MODEL PICK
Model confidence 62%
Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5-184

Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 62% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds

The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.

Moneyline

Los Angeles Dodgers+11646% impl.
Philadelphia Phillies-13658% impl.

Run Line

Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5-18465% impl.
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5+15240% impl.

Total (Over/Under) — 8.5

Over 8.5-11253% impl.
Under 8.5-10852% impl.

The Analysis

The market prices Philadelphia as a modest favorite at -136 moneyline (approximately 57.6% implied probability), yet the runline juice is heavily shaded toward the Dodgers at -184, suggesting the market expects a tight contest where the favorite wins by one run or the underdog stays competitive. When runline juice reaches -184 while the moneyline sits at only -136, it typically signals sharp money anticipating a close game where the underdog covers even if they lose outright.

💡 Tip: Standard 1-unit play on Dodgers +1.5 at -184, shop for better runline juice if available at alternate books.

FAQ

Who is favored in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Philadelphia Phillies is the market favorite at -136 (58% implied) for this MLB game on Jul 21, 2026.
What is the over/under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies?
The market total is 8.5: Over 8.5 at -112, Under 8.5 at -108.
What is PickWise's pick for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies?
PickWise's model has Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 (-184) on the Run Line, at 62% model confidence. The pick won.

New to this market? Read our MLB Run Line Betting Guide.

← Today's MLB slateLos Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies history →Los Angeles Dodgers hub →Philadelphia Phillies hub →Track record →

⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.