MLB — New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies on Jul 16, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies.
Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 62% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.
The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.
The market is pricing the Mets as modest road favorites on the moneyline at +106, yet the runline offers +158 on them covering -1.5. This creates a scenario where we're getting plus-money on the favorite to win by multiple runs while only laying juice to take them straight up, suggesting the market expects a competitive game but may be undervaluing the Mets' win margin potential. The implied probability gap between the moneyline and runline here provides value on the road favorite's ability to win decisively.
New to this market? Read our MLB Run Line Betting Guide.
⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.