MLB — New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays on Jul 6, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays.
Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 62% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.
The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.
The market is pricing this game as essentially a pick'em on the moneyline (Rays -110, Yankees -106), yet the runline carries heavy juice at -184 on Tampa Bay +1.5. This suggests the market expects a tightly contested game where the home underdog has a legitimate chance to win outright, making the 1.5-run cushion at these odds reasonable value despite the elevated juice. When moneylines are this close but runline juice is this steep, it typically indicates sharp money protecting against a one-run outcome.
New to this market? Read our MLB Run Line Betting Guide.
⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.