MLB · Jul 10, 2026 · Moneyline

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Pick

MLBPhiladelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers on Jul 10, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: Philadelphia Phillies · Detroit Tigers.

WONFinal Philadelphia Phillies 2–10 Detroit Tigers+0.83u

The Pick

MODEL PICK
Model confidence 63%
Detroit Tigers ML-120

Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 63% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Odds

The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.

Moneyline

Philadelphia Phillies+10250% impl.
Detroit Tigers-12055% impl.

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5+16438% impl.
Detroit Tigers +1.5-20067% impl.

Total (Over/Under) — 9

Over 9+10050% impl.
Under 9-12255% impl.

The Analysis

The market is pricing Detroit as a home favorite at -120 (54.5% implied probability), yet the runline requires laying -200 on the Tigers +1.5, suggesting the market expects a close game but with Detroit slightly more likely to win outright. The moneyline value sits with the home dog favorite here, as the Phillies at +102 are priced as slight underdogs despite being the visiting team, which typically signals market respect for the home side's win probability without demanding heavy juice.

FAQ

Who is favored in Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers?
Detroit Tigers is the market favorite at -120 (55% implied) for this MLB game on Jul 10, 2026.
What is the over/under for Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers?
The market total is 9: Over 9 at +100, Under 9 at -122.
What is PickWise's pick for Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers?
PickWise's model has Detroit Tigers ML (-120) on the Moneyline, at 63% model confidence. The pick won.

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⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.