MLB — Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Jul 22, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: Pittsburgh Pirates · New York Yankees.
Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 62% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.
The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.
The market is pricing the Yankees as significant favorites at -178 on the moneyline, implying roughly 64% win probability. However, the Pirates are receiving -137 juice on the runline at +1.5, which is elevated vig for a dog getting 1.5 runs. This suggests the market expects a relatively close game despite the moneyline gap, with value leaning toward the underdog covering the modest spread.
New to this market? Read our MLB Run Line Betting Guide.
⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.