MLB — St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees on Aug 3, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, run line and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: St. Louis Cardinals · New York Yankees.
Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 62% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.
The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.
The market is pricing the Yankees as moderate favorites at -190 on the moneyline (65.5% implied probability), but the runline shows significant value inefficiency. The Cardinals are getting +1.5 runs at -132, meaning the market is charging premium juice to lay the runs with New York despite them being less than a 2-to-1 favorite. This suggests the betting public is overweighting the favorite on the runline relative to their actual win probability, creating value on the dog to stay within the number.
New to this market? Read our MLB Run Line Betting Guide.
⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.