World Cup 2026 — England vs Norway on Jul 11, 2026. Below: PickWise's model pick, the full odds board (moneyline, spread and over/under) with both sides and implied probabilities, the model's confidence, and — once the game settles — the graded result. Every line is real; nothing is invented. Team pages: England · Norway.
ℹ️ 1-1 after 90 minutes; England won 2-1 in extra time. Soccer markets settle on 90-minute regulation.
Confidence is our model's conviction rating (55–75 scale) — 63% here signals a modest lean versus the market price. It is not a guaranteed win probability.
The full market — every bet type, both sides, with real prices and implied win probabilities.
The market has set a low total at 2.5 goals, which is typical for a defensive or tactical match, but is offering plus-money on the Under at +110 despite England being a clear favorite at -105. This price discrepancy suggests the market expects England to control possession and grind out a narrow result rather than open play, with the Under representing roughly 47.6% implied probability at these odds versus 57.4% for the Over at -135. The moneyline spread (England -105 vs Norway +270) indicates a expected England win but not a blowout, supporting a low-scoring affair where one or two goals decide the match.
New to this market? Read our World Cup 2026 Betting Guide.
⚠️ Model-generated analysis for entertainment purposes only. Odds shown are the market line at publish time; lines move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER.